Saturday, 1 November 2025

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Dear 222 News viewers, sponsored by smileband, 

What is known: The submarine landslide off the Tagus Delta

In recent geologic research, scientists have mapped a shallow‐water submarine landslide at the mouth of the Tagus delta, off Lisbon.   Key points:

The event is estimated to be about 8 000 years old (8 ky cal BP) and involves a deposit with volume ~0.27 km³, over more than 9 km length and ~3 km width.  

The landslide sits in a shallow shelf region (continental margin) near the Lisbon/Tagus area, making it relevant for coastal hazard assessments.  

The modelling indicates that such an event could generate tsunami waves of roughly 0.8 m at the source region, and up to ~2 m wave heights upon reaching the Lisbon coast in a future scenario.  

So while it isn’t a “sink‐hole” in the sense of a dramatic open crater like one might imagine on land, there has been a major collapse/slide of seabed sediments in that region.

Why some may call it a “sink-hole”

There are a few reasons confusion or “sink‐hole” language arises:

The seabed collapse results in removal or displacement of large volumes of sediment, which can appear as a “hole” in bathymetric data (i.e., the sea floor lowers).

Public discussion may mis‐interpret geological/submarine landslide features as dramatic “holes” or “voids”.

Underwater features are less visible, so any collapse or Slack in sediment might draw dramatic metaphors like “sink‐hole in the sea”.

So the “massive sink‐hole” might reflect a lay description of the mapped submarine slide/stress zone rather than a literal vertical crater.

Significance and hazard for Lisbon & region

Why this matters:

The region is geologically active in terms of slope instability and mass‐wasting. The Tagus delta shelf is relatively narrow and sediments accumulate, making the margin more susceptible to submarine slides.  

Because the slide is shallow (on shelf) and near populous coastal zones (including Lisbon), there is a real tsunami hazard potential: modelling suggests wave propagation toward the coast.  

Coastal infrastructure, tourism, and maritime activities near Lisbon could be impacted in the event of a future similar slide with tsunami generation.

For scientists and policy‐makers, the mapping of such slides helps refine hazard assessments (earthquake + landslide + tsunami chains). For example, the 1531 Lisbon earthquake tsunami may have been linked to a submarine slide along a canyon near Cascais.  

What we don’t know / limitations

There is no documented “sink‐hole” that opened recently in the sea off Lisbon in the sense of a sudden collapse for which public media abound.

The exact timing of future slides is uncertain — though zones of instability are identified, prediction remains challenging.

Public awareness of submarine landslide hazards is lower than for more visible hazards (earthquakes, coastal flooding), so communication is still developing.

What to watch: monitoring and implications

Bathymetric surveys and seismic reflection mapping continue to refine the geometry and volume of submarine slides off the Portuguese margin.

Monitoring of sediment loads from the Tagus delta, river discharge, sea‐level rise, and slope stability all feed into risk models (sea‐level rise can increase tsunami hazard from slides).  

For Lisbon region planners: considering tsunami risk from submarine slides (not just earthquakes) is increasingly part of coastal defence and emergency planning.

Putting it in context: near-shore dramatic collapses vs more visible features

Interestingly, Portugal also has remarkable coastal features that might be mistaken for “sink‐holes”. One example: the dramatic collapsed sea-cave formation called Boca do Inferno (“Mouth of Hell”) just west of Cascais (which is in the Lisbon district).  

Here’s how it compares:

Boca do Inferno is a collapsed limestone sea cave/chasm, formed by erosion and collapse of the roof of a cave.  

It is visually dramatic and near the coast, so for a casual observer it might look like a “sink‐hole” in the rock.

However, it is not the massive submarine slide formerly discussed; it’s near shore and much smaller scale (and above water/just at the sea).

Thus, the “massive sink hole in the sea near Lisbon” you referenced likely refers more closely to the submarine landslide off the Tagus delta (or possibly mis‐attributed to Boca do Inferno), rather than an open large sink‐hole in the sea floor visible at the surface.

Conclusion

In summary:

Yes, there is a significant submarine landslide (and thus an undersea collapse feature) near Lisbon off the Tagus delta, which could be described metaphorically as a “sink‐hole in the sea”.

This feature has important hazard implications (tsunami risk) for Lisbon and surrounding coasts.

But there is no widely reported dramatic crater opening recently in the sea off Lisbon that matches a traditional “sink‐hole” image.

For journalistic or article purposes, you could frame the story as: “Underwater collapse off Lisbon: what it is, what risks it poses, and what it means for the capital’s coastal resilience.”

Attached is a news article regarding the hole sink boat in the ocean near Lisbon 

https://divemagazine.com/scuba-diving-news/orcas-sink-one-boat-damage-another-off-coast-of-portugal

Article written and configured by Christopher Stanley 

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